Assessment of tumor response in patients receiving systemic and nonsurgical locoregional treatment of hepatocellular cancer

 

Executive Summary

This briefing document synthesizes the critical methodologies, challenges, and standards for assessing tumor response in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing systemic and nonsurgical locoregional treatments. Accurate response evaluation is paramount for clinical management and as a surrogate endpoint for survival in clinical trials.

The central theme is the inadequacy of conventional, size-based tumor measurements (like RECIST) for evaluating the antitumor effects of modern HCC therapies. These treatments, particularly locoregional and targeted systemic agents, often induce tumor necrosis without an immediate change in lesion size. Consequently, response assessment has evolved to prioritize tumor viability, primarily identified through contrast enhancement on imaging, over simple dimensional changes.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) is generally the preferred imaging modality over Computed Tomography (CT) due to its superior soft-tissue contrast resolution, sensitivity for post-treatment changes, and lack of ionizing radiation. Specific criteria have been developed to standardize this viability-based assessment, including the Modified RECIST (mRECIST) for HCC, which measures the diameter of the enhancing (viable) tumor, and the LI-RADS Treatment Response algorithm, used after locoregional therapies. For immunotherapy, specialized criteria like iRECIST are employed to account for unique response patterns such as pseudoprogression.

Emerging techniques like tumor markers (e.g., AFP), liquid biopsies (ctDNA), volumetric analysis, and functional imaging show promise for refining response assessment but are not yet standard clinical practice due to limitations in validation and standardization. Post-treatment surveillance involves a structured schedule of imaging, typically starting eight weeks after therapy and continuing at regular intervals, though timing may be adjusted for treatments with delayed responses, such as radiation therapy.

1. Overview of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Treatment Approaches

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an aggressive malignancy that frequently develops in the context of underlying liver disease, particularly cirrhosis. The primary factors determining a patient's prognosis and guiding treatment options are the tumor's mass and location, combined with the patient's hepatic reserve.

1.1. Treatment Algorithms

The management of HCC is stratified based on disease stage, liver function, and patient eligibility for various interventions.

  • Early-Stage HCC: The optimal treatment is surgical resection or liver transplantation.

  • Unresectable HCC: Patients with unresectable tumors who are not candidates for transplantation are typically managed with nonsurgical locoregional therapies. These therapies can also serve as a "bridging" or "downstaging" strategy to make a patient eligible for transplantation.

  • Advanced HCC: Systemic therapy is appropriate for patients with good performance status, adequate liver function, and disease that has spread beyond the liver (extrahepatic), is refractory to locoregional therapies, or involves extensive vascular invasion.

1.2. Nonsurgical and Systemic Therapies

A variety of nonsurgical and systemic treatments are available for patients who are not candidates for surgical resection.

  • Nonsurgical Locoregional Therapies:

    • Percutaneous Needle-Based Ablation: Includes techniques like radiofrequency ablation (RFA), microwave ablation, cryoablation, irreversible electroporation, percutaneous ethanol injection (PEI), and high-intensity focused ultrasound (US). These are most appropriate for one or two tumors that are no larger than 4 cm.

    • Arterially Directed Therapies: For patients not suited for ablation, these include transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), conventional drug-eluting bead TACE (DEB-TACE), radioembolization (also known as selective internal RT or SIRT), and bland embolization.

    • External Beam Radiation Therapy (RT): Approaches include photon irradiation, stereotactic body RT (SBRT), and charged particle irradiation (e.g., proton beam).

  • Systemic Therapies: These include immune checkpoint inhibitors and molecularly targeted agents. Key regimens mentioned are atezolizumab with bevacizumab, and sorafenib.

2. Techniques for Assessing Treatment Response

While pathological evaluation of tissue is the definitive gold standard for assessing treatment response, it is invasive and impractical for routine follow-up. Therefore, radiographic imaging serves as the primary noninvasive and robust method.

2.1. Imaging Modalities

Contrast-enhanced cross-sectional imaging with either CT or MRI is the cornerstone of response assessment.

Modality

Description & Clinical Application

Computed Tomography (CT)

The most common modality for diagnosis and follow-up. Multiphase, contrast-enhanced multidetector CT (MDCT) is the standard, allowing for thin-slice images, multiplanar reconstruction, and single breath-hold acquisition. Standard institutional protocols should include a late arterial phase, a portal venous phase, and a late venous phase for a complete assessment.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI)

Generally preferred over CT for its superior soft tissue contrast, higher sensitivity for detecting post-treatment changes, and absence of ionizing radiation. A typical protocol includes T2-weighted, T1-weighted precontrast, and dynamic post-contrast sequences after administration of a gadolinium-based contrast agent (GBCA). The use of liver-specific agents like gadoxetic acid may offer added value in differentiating viable tumor from "pseudolesions."

Diffusion-Weighted Imaging (DWI)

An MRI technique that measures the mobility of water protons to provide an indirect assessment of tumor cellularity and cell death. It can be useful in evaluating treatment effect but is not yet a standardized approach and is not routinely used at most institutions.

Ultrasound (US)

Primarily used for HCC screening, but its utility for follow-up after treatment is limited by low sensitivity and inability to reliably distinguish viable from nonviable tumor tissue.

Dual Energy/Dual Source CT (DECT)

An emerging technology that may increase the detection of hypervascular lesions like HCC. Its role in routine clinical practice is not yet established, and the scanners are not universally available.

2.2. Tumor Markers and Liquid Biopsy

Biomarkers can supplement imaging findings but have significant limitations.

  • Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP): In the subset of patients with elevated AFP at baseline, serial measurements can be useful. A decrease may indicate response, and elevations may precede radiographic evidence of progression. However, AFP levels are not elevated in up to 40% of patients with small HCCs (<2 cm).

  • Des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP): An alternative tumor marker, but available data does not consistently show it correlates with survival or adds value when AFP levels are monitored.

  • Plasma VEGF Levels: Investigated as a potential surrogate marker for benefit from sorafenib, but studies have yielded conflicting results.

  • Liquid Biopsy (ctDNA): Analysis of circulating tumor DNA shows potential for monitoring patients for recurrence after locoregional therapy. However, its clinical utility remains uncertain due to a lack of assay standardization and high risk of bias in existing studies.

3. Imaging Appearance and Interpretation of Treated HCC

The fundamental principle of post-treatment imaging is that the absence of contrast uptake within a tumor signifies necrosis and successful treatment, while the persistence or reappearance of enhancement indicates persistent or recurrent disease.

3.1. Response to Locoregional Therapy

  • Ablative Therapy (e.g., RFA): Successful ablation is defined by a nonenhancing zone that encompasses the entire tumor plus a safety margin of at least 5 mm. Residual or recurrent disease typically appears as nodular or irregular thickening at the periphery of the treated lesion.

  • Transarterial Chemoembolization (TACE): For conventional TACE using Lipiodol, complete retention of the iodized oil is highly correlated with complete necrosis. MRI with subtraction imaging is often superior to CT for assessing residual disease.

  • Radiation-Based Therapies (TARE/SIRT, SBRT): These treatments induce a delayed response. Tumor necrosis and shrinkage may not be evident for approximately 30 to 120 days. Therefore, the first assessment is typically performed at three months. Persistent arterial phase hyperenhancement can occur post-treatment and may be difficult to distinguish from viable tumor, though these changes often resolve after three months.

3.2. Response to Systemic Therapy

  • Molecularly Targeted Therapies (e.g., Sorafenib): Response can be challenging to evaluate as these agents may cause tumor necrosis without changing the overall size. An increase in tumor size due to necrosis, termed "pseudoprogression," has been reported. Therefore, quantifying necrosis/viability is more important than size measurement.

  • Immunotherapy: Patients may exhibit unique response patterns, including a transient worsening of disease (also called pseudoprogression) before stabilization or regression. Responses may take appreciably longer to appear compared to cytotoxic chemotherapy.

4. Standardized Criteria for Response Assessment

To overcome the limitations of simple size measurements, specialized criteria have been developed to incorporate tumor viability.

Criteria

Key Features

Primary Use Case

RECIST 1.1

Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors. Based on the sum of the longest diameters of target lesions. Does not account for tumor viability or necrosis.

Standard response measure for many solid tumors in clinical trials and for regulatory agencies. Used for atypical HCCs where viability is hard to assess.

mRECIST for HCC

Modified RECIST. An adaptation of RECIST that measures only the diameter of the viable (arterially enhancing) portion of the tumor. Acknowledges that necrosis is a key indicator of treatment effect.

Preferred criteria for assessing response to systemic or locoregional therapy in patients with typical hypervascular HCC.

LI-RADS TR

Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System Treatment Response. An algorithm that categorizes response as LR-TR Viable, Nonviable, or Equivocal based on the presence and pattern of contrast enhancement.

Specifically designed to evaluate response after nonsurgical locoregional therapies (ablation, embolization). Not intended for systemic therapy.

iRECIST

Immunotherapy RECIST. Guidelines that account for pseudoprogression by requiring confirmation of progression at a subsequent time point before declaring treatment failure.

Assessing response in patients receiving immunotherapy.

5. Guidelines for Post-Treatment Imaging and Surveillance

A structured imaging schedule is recommended to monitor for treatment response and disease recurrence.

  • Initial Post-Treatment Assessment:

    • For most systemic and nonsurgical locoregional therapies, the first cross-sectional imaging is performed approximately eight weeks after treatment initiation.

    • For radiation-based therapies (TARE, SBRT), the first assessment is delayed to three months to allow for a delayed tumor response.

  • Ongoing Monitoring:

    • Following the initial scan, imaging is continued every three months for at least the first year.

    • After the first year, imaging frequency is typically extended to every six months.

    • If there is no recurrence after two years, some institutions revert to standard HCC surveillance protocols (e.g., imaging with AFP assay every six months).

These recommendations are consistent with guidelines from major oncology networks like the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) and the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN).

6. Future Trends in Response Assessment

  • Tumor Volume Measurement: Three-dimensional volumetric evaluation of the viable, enhancing tumor and its necrotic component is more accurate and reproducible than two-dimensional measurements. Although promising, especially for heterogeneous tumors, it has not yet been incorporated into standard response criteria.

  • Functional Imaging: Techniques that assess tumor biology—such as cellularity (DWI), vascularity (perfusion CT/MRI), and metabolism (FDG-PET)—can detect treatment-related changes earlier than anatomical imaging. While these modalities are promising, they have not yet been validated for routine clinical use in HCC response assessment.