Risk factors for postoperative recurrence of anal fistula identified by an international, evidence-based Delphi consultation survey of surgical specialists
Executive Summary Postoperative anal fistula recurrence (AFR) remains one of the most significant challenges in colorectal surgery, with reported rates reaching as high as 40%. Recurrence leads to substantial medical and economic burdens, potentially compromising anal sphincter function and patient quality of life. This document synthesizes findings from an international, evidence-based Delphi consultation survey and associated expert commentaries to identify the critical risk factors for AFR across three domains: patient-related, fistula-related, and surgery-related. A consensus reached by an international panel of surgical specialists identifies 14 core risk factors . The most critical factors include inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), undetected internal openings, and the presence of recurrent or complex fistula structures (such as horseshoe extensions). The findings underscore the necessity of accurate preoperative assessment —utilizing detailed clinical examinations and me...